Thoughts On Hull And Newcastle

The visit to the KC Stadium turned out to be a fairly comfortable one, as expected. Hull have not done very well against the big sides and their performance in this game didn’t merit any points either.

That’s not to say the hosts were pushovers. The first half-hour was competitive. Both sides had some half-chances and Arsenal had a clear penalty denied. Hull, as most Steve Bruce sides are, were compact an well-organized in front of Steve Harper. The Gunners weren’t getting a clear sight of goal and some individual quality was needed. It came in the form of a combination between Özil, Cazorla, and Ramsey. Their movement, understanding, and technique were excellent which put the Welshman in an excellent position to score. He was his usual efficient self.

I enjoyed the second goal a lot more. The counter-attack started with a feisty challenge – we’ve seen these called as fouls – and ended with a sublime finish. I loved the ground Ramsey covered and the way Podolski simply struck the ball instinctively. The German is such a natural finisher it’s a shame he doesn’t do more on the pitch or he’d be one of the best in the world. His assist provider again showed his uncanny knack for getting into the right spaces at just the right time.

That tendency was fruitful again for the third goal as Ramsey arrived at the top of the box at the perfect moment to meet Cazorla’s cut-back. When in full flow, these players make football look very easy. The kind of impact Ramsey’s had this season, not just in decisive moments like goals and assists, but also in making others better by his instinctively astute positioning, has made him practically irreplaceable in the side. It’s good, obviously, but also a bit concerning because without him the output of the whole side drops and there isn’t an equivalent replacement in the squad at the moment.

Hull, in fairness, did have some moments which could have gone their way on another day – Livermore’s shot that struck the bar, for instance. But on the balance of play this was a comfortable win for the Gunners and I doubt that would have changed even if Hull had scored with one of their attacks.

Newcastle – The vagaries of form.

The Magpies ended 5th in the League not too long ago. The very next season they also flirted with relegation. After the first 18 games of this season, it looked like Pardew’s side were back on track as they were 6th in the Premiership just 6 points off the top. Since boxing day though, they’ve lost 12 of their 17 League games while picking up just 13 points. Supporting the Toon should probably be prescribed remedy for any football fan found criticizing his club’s short term form.

The likely patterns for Monday night’s game, therefore, are a bit hard to call. There have been a couple of big scoring games between the sides (7-3,4-4) but four of the last seven encounters have also seen a solitary goal or less. The only common element has been that every game has been tight – even last season’s double-digit thriller was quite even till the final 15-20 minutes – and that Arsenal have not lost since 2010 when, if memory serves, Chris Hughton oversaw a win at the Emirates on the back of an Andy Carroll goal.

Life is not the same for Carroll, Hughton, or Newcastle but the Gunners are in a familar position of needing to win in order to ensure their spot in the Champions League qualifiers.

For the most part, I’m inclined to believe this should be a win for the Gunners. It could also be a comfortable one if the visitors fail to turn up as they’ve been prone to off late. But Pardew’s return to the touchline and Sissokho’s to the starting eleven might lift them. Wenger’s side should be prepared to grind out a result if things don’t work smoothly.

Having the decisive players back and the rest between games should help. The combination play in midfield and attacking areas is getting back to a high level and Newcastle’s main aim will be to disrupt Arsenal’s rhythm. Sometimes, with their manager’s encouragement, this can lead to the Geordies getting too physical. Arsenal might have to ride the challenges, so to speak, in order to establish their tactical will on the game. Part of that will also include not losing the ball when shoved and is applicable to the likes of Santi and Özil who aren’t still suited to such battles.

The defence has some standards problems to deal with. Remy has pace and finishing skills, Sissokho is powerful, and set-pieces can always be a problem. If Arsenal concede a goal it will most probably be linked to a terrible individual mistake or two.

Newcastle’s best attacking hope is to press aggressively in the central third of the pitch. Most teams don’t use these tactics against the Gunners, probably for fear of exposing their backline and goal, but bravery is sometimes needed on the pitch. With nothing to lose, given their position in the table, Pardew should take this chance to be bold and proactive. That could make this a very interesting game to watch and a truly challenging one for the Gunners.

The visitors will have to rely on luck if they let the hosts control the ball and the centre of the park.

Wenger should be able to pick a very strong team,

Szczesny – Sagna, Mertesacker, Koscielny, Monreal – Arteta, Özil, Ramsey – Cazorla, Giroud, Podolski.

I don’t like Cazorla on the right but he seems to have a very good understanding with Ramsey and Özil.

The importance of the first goal remains as high as it’s ever been.

4 Responses to Thoughts On Hull And Newcastle

  1. Dianjuh says:

    Hey Desi,

    First of all, thanks to Everton’s self implode we should wrap up Fourth place with a game to spare. I never like travelling to the canaries with a need to win, especially being the last game. So its simple, beat Newcastle and Westbrom, ruthlessly, and Sanogo, Vermaelen, Kalstrom, Diaby, Chamberlain, Zelalem etc can all enjoy the last game while the boys in your lineup can train for FA Cup final.

    Man city should win the title, lets win both our fourth place trophy and FA Cup. We can hook up with the blue Manchester for the community shield next season!

  2. Dianjuh says:

    I would really love to see what your daily/pre match analysis would sit like if we were defending EPL champions…sadly Wenger is denying me that!

  3. atid says:

    No need for santi on the right, play 442 Ramsey ozil arteta cazorla behind giroud and poldi. That is pretty much what happened against west ham and hull and look how well those 2 turned out. Arteta naturally drops deep while the other 3 in midfield naturally push on.

    For the future, let’s make our summer an easy one. Aurier and Remy are desperate to join let’s sign me now. Then go to real Madrid and make a big offer for casillas, khedira, di maria and benzema. Job done! Apart from convincing sagna and/or vermaelen to stay. If we signed those 6 and kept those 2 then sold/released or loaned out 13 fabianski Viviano martinez Djourou boateng miquel galindo arteta kallstrom diaby ryo park bendtner our squad would be awesome with 3 players for each position and our 25 man quota filled. * 17 non-homegrown, # 8 homegrown @ u21
    *Casillas #Szczesney @macey
    *Aurier #jenkinson @bellerin
    *Mertesacker *sagna @ajayi
    *koscielny *vermaelen @hayden
    #Gibbs *monreal @ormonde-ottewill
    *Khedira *Flamini #coquelin
    #Wilshire #Ramsey @aneke
    #Walcott #campbell @gnabry
    *Ozil *cazorla *rosicky
    *Di maria @chamberlain *podolski
    *Benzema *giroud *remy

  4. Ayokunle says:

    Nice analysis…the hull game was pretty enjoyable to watch. Ramsey has really grown into a complete footballer and his absence and presence can be felt @ all times…hope we get more players like him. Newcastle might prove difficult but nothing but a win will be good. UP THE GUNNERS!!!

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